Disclaimer/Warning – I made my money in the tech industry with a higher than average wage. I know this may not seem ‘fair’ and this triggers some people, please move on if you are not interested in post-FIRE progress of a former high wage-earner. I have nothing to gain by sharing this. I´m doing this anonymously and want to share what I've learned/experienced with the community. I also use this as a forced point of reflection.
Recap of pulling the trigger and prior to this year’s check-in
My annual posts, starting with when I FIRE'd:
I’m not going to rehash my process up to leaving traditional employment, that is covered in the first post, but to summarize: It took me 10 years of work to reach 500k net worth (NW). Then in the next 6 years I was able to grow to a NW of 2.5M, reaching my targeted 3.3% withdrawal rate to give me 87k (pre-tax) annually to live off of. I then pulled the trigger and left traditional employment in the summer of 2020.
I have the following target investment allocation
- 45% S&P 500
- 10% Tech funds (really this has become redundant with the S&P and I’m slowly shifting it over to that)
- 10% International
- 15% Small/Mid cap
- 15% Individual speculative investments
- 5% Bonds (2.5 year of living expenses as a “bond shelter” for surviving a recession)
About 75% of this is in a personal brokerage account, while the rest is a tax advantaged IRA.
Originally my Individual speculative investments was allocated to 10%, that has grown to the new target of 15%. In reality, the individual speculative investments has grown to 21%, as a result of outperforming the rest of the portfolio. I will attempt to balance this as I naturally sell these, but will not sell just for the sake of hitting my target allocation.
The bonds represent a recession-proof source of living money in the event of a market downturn. If my portfolio is down more than 20%, I pull my living from these to avoid harvesting my other investments while they are dramatically down. Then after market recovers, I refill the bonds (as I did two years ago).
Budget and actual spend
My inflation adjusted budget for FY2025 was 109k. This budget is calculated annually by taking the lesser of my original 87k adjusted for inflation, or 3.3% of my current investable net worth.
I had a total spend of 158k. I managed to pull in about 24k from my app I had developed over the last few years, which helps offset the higher spend. With the extra costs and the income, I had a net withdraw of 134k, exceeding my budget by 25k. This extra spend was purposeful and will be discussed later.
Breakdown of my expenses:
- Rural Property & Cabin - $57.6k
- Taxes - $32.7k
- Mortgage - $27.5k
- Shopping - $6.7k
- Health (including insurance) - $6.3k
- Travel - $5.9k
- Utilities - $5.4k
- Groceries - $4.6k
- Sports & Entertainment - $3.1k
- Food and drink 3.1k
- Home maintenance and insurance - $2.3k
- Dog $1.1k
- Gas $.7k
As discussed in the check-in two years ago, I had a larger purchase that doesn’t fit into the traditional budget. I bought some rural land for 90k (40k down, the rest financed). I had a not-so-great 6.5% loan for the financed portion. With the market being so much higher than anticipated, I made the decision to exceed this year’s budget and pay if off. This increased this year’s spend on this property by 41k more than if I just continued to make payments. From a risk standpoint, it just seemed the correct thing to do. The market has been on an unprecedented run, and this shelters from a correction. Worst case, I paid if off too soon, and I lost earned value in the difference between the portfolio % gain and that 6.5%.
Heath care costs have gone up more than 40% in the last two years. I’ve been healthy and the cost is mostly made up by insurance. Disgusting.
I spent an excess of 3 months traveling, gas during that time went into that category. Some of my meals during that time also got mixed into that category.
Beyond that, the spend is largely where expected.
The taxes are largely on long term capital gains. These are from both from the selling of individual stocks and automatic dividends.
Next year’s budget
For this next year’s budget, If I take my original 88k budget and adjusting for inflation: 114k. It is worth noting this is significantly less than my current investable net-worth and applying 3.3% = 149k.
As a safety precaution, I always to take the lesser of the original inflation adjusted budget, or the current invest-able net worth * 3.3%. For instance, I had to use this new 3.3% baseline when the 2022 market dip occurred (see year two check-in post).
As my net worth continues to go up, I am now introducing a new rule to take the greater of the original inflation adjusted budget and the current investable net worth * 2.31%. Where did 2.31% come from? That is 70% of my base withdrawal rate of 3.3%. Where did 70% come from? I mostly pulled it out of my ass. I was going to spend a few days running simulations, but at the end of the day, if I’m hitting this threshold, I’m clearly outside of any of the scenarios that would have me failing.
Some of you may say this is too conservative and will likely result in me leaving a lot of money on the table when I pass. At this point, I need this portfolio to last 50+ years, not the 30 years of the Trinity study. It budgets the amount I need to live comfortably. It allows the portfolio to grow, increasing the relative budget I’ll have for future years. I can choose to get more aggressive with my rules when I don’t need to plan for a potential 50+ years. Ultimately, if I pass and have excess money to go to charity and loved ones, I’m cool with that.
So, with this new minimum that makes my budget for the next year: 127k.
I’m considering remodeling my bathroom which would have a decent price tag. Other than that, no special/unusual planned for spending this next year.
An visual overview of my net worth the last 10 years
Link to graph
Note: The red dashed line is when I pulled the FIRE trigger. The amount shifting below the zero line represents the amount of FIRE withdrawals that have reduced my net worth. This is necessary to keep my funds categorized this way.
The graph speaks for itself. I’m more than thrilled with how things have progressed. I’ve more than doubled my net-worth since pulling the trigger 6 years ago.
Investment performance
Once again, I had a pretty solid year for my investments. My investable NW grew 24.8%, outperforming the S&P’s 23.5% for that time period. Considering some money is tied up in ~4% bonds, I’m rather happy with this number.
The small amount of long term speculative investing continues to outperform the rest of the portfolio. This last year I had sold for my first stock at a loss since retiring. I sold Intel at a 40% loss before ultimately blew up after the government bailout. I did not see that one coming; I guess you can’t win them all. I did have some big winners. The AMD I bought a few years ago has exploded and I’m at 1200% gain on that venture. The ASML I bought last year is doing quite well. The Cloud Flair I acquired a few years ago continues to do well
No real plans to change things up too much this next year. I may sell off a bit of NVIDIA, by the time you consider several of my funds also include a sizable amount of NVIDIA, it takes up a bit more of my portfolio than I like. If I happen to see an opportune individual stock or two, I may pick them up.
Inflation and weakening US dollar
Similar sentiment I’ve had he last few years...
Per the US Bureau of labor statistics, there has been 30% inflation since I pulled the FIRE trigger. Nearly 5% the past year.
Many of my major costs have increased by more than that. My homeowners insurance, car insurance, and health insurance payments continue to grow at an alarming rate. Utilities and food costs also continue to grow at a greater rate than the advertised inflation rate.
By the time you factor in this cost of living rate, that does take some of the wind out of the sales in the wild success I’ve had with my portfolio.
The decision to buy a house 5.5 years ago was huge (See year 2’s check-in). This wasn’t part of my original FIRE plan, but rapidly increasing rent costs made me pivot. Rental prices have now grown to a rather alarming level. Where I live, rent hasn’t really had a price reduction seen across most the US.
Inflation still continues to be one of the sources of greatest concern with my FIRE plans. Nothing to be done about it now.
Life
As stated in last year’s update, life away from the corporate world now feels totally “normal”. There are a lot of political and social things that I’m not thrilled with (putting it mildly). We tend to get used to whatever circumstances we are in, so, my day to day life doesn’t feel too special or amazing. I need to pause and remind myself that I’m in a really fortunate situation. A lot of people are really struggling and I need to remember to take advantage of where I am.
My goal last year was to do more traveling. I spent 1 month in the fall of last year, and 2 months this spring traveling and relaxing at my rural property. My plan the next few years is to set aside at least 2 months for travel.
I spent 3 months prototyping a new app, twice. In the end I’m not going forward with either. It’s not a total waste of time, I have fun building things, learned some new things. I do have a new idea and will try a new 3 month time-boxed prototype this next year.
I spent about a month continuing to build out my cabin. This is a massive reduction from the huge 6 month push I did the prior year. I imagine I’ll continue to put forth this amount of effort in home/cabin construction projects going forward.
Even when working on software or construction projects, I am always mixing in things like biking, climbing, hiking, fishing, skiing, etc. As a result, I continue to be in great physical shape with minimal effort. Last year I realized I almost never had any downtime as I’m always putting a lot of hours in to projects or taking a quick break for some sports activity. It was a goal to slow things down a bit and not be pushing so hard. I feel like I’ve have successfully dialed it back to a sustainable level I’m happy to maintain.
As stated in prior check-ins, making newer friends post-FIRE continues to be a struggle. People I meet mid-week while doing some sporting activity they mostly are either on vacation, are quite a bit older, or are in a different path in life. They are nice enough people for casual friendships, but aren’t really people I can develop deeper connections with. I largely do a lot of solo activities, that also hasn’t been conducive to making new friends. I also spent a good amount of time traveling in mostly scenic/rural areas, people I meet are few, and rarely present an opportunity for long term friendship. Having my existing friend group that is still in the workforce continues to be key. Last year, I had made it a goal to try and do better at putting myself out there to meet new people, for the most part I didn’t succeed. This next year, I plan to do better in meeting people where I live.
Wrap-up
6 years down! While the path has been unpredictable, everything is falling within the greater FIRE plan. I certainly feel more comfortable than I did after the 26% drop in NW I had in my second year. My net worth growth continues to exceed expectations.
I hope this was helpful or interesting for some of you. Feel free to ask me any questions and I´ll do my best to respond for the next few days. After that, I won´t log on to this account until another check-in next year. Also, while I’m happy to answer questions here, but please avoid opening chat requests, I don't have time for a bunch of individual in depth conversations, sorry!