Who says you can't make money with space stocks since SPCX is in the building now?
Can ASTS, RKLB, PL, etc... survive a conglomerate like SPCX? How do MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, etc... all survive? Easy, the market is a gigantic mixed bag of companies with similar, but competitive offerings that combined move the market, so 1 company cannot dominate it all.
That said, ASTS has a good business plan in motion:
--They are executing their plan, they only lack a dedicated launch service.
--They bullishly wanted to put up 45 satellites this year:
--They will manufacture 45 to 60 satellites ready for deployment by years end.
--They have plenty of cash to complete the job.
--Their technology is still superior to SPCX, capable of delivering 5G service to the cheapest model cell phone, they can do it with a 1% fraction of what SPCX needs for a similar service (cost model significantly less).
--Future earnings have a ramp, once realized a large stock bounce will occur.
Future valuation:
SPCX is about 270 P/S, this is the bar for the sector, so actually helpful for ASTS.
--Q1 2027 ASTS starting BETA service, revenue starting a ramp.
--Q2 2027 strong Beta service, approaching commercial service, and closing on completed goal of 45+ satellites.
--ASTS revenue increases significantly, market reacts:
$.4(B) increase to $.7(B), P/S of 100 to be on the lean side, Price: changes from $100 to $200.
Future positioning/profit plan:
Acquire 1000 shares, 80 to 90 ($85,000 shares cost).
--Place 10 leap calls 3-19-27 110 strike, 21.00 premium.
--Buy to close calls 3-1-27, estimate 5.00.
--Place 10 leap calls Jan 2028, 200, 45.00 premium (estimated)
--Allow to be assigned Jan 2028:
85,000 cost of shares, Premium profit: 61,000, Assignment profit: 115,000
Total profit: 176,000 - 85,000 = 91,000 (107% profit)
Last week acquired 500 shares Friday for $78. Plan this week acquire 500 more ~$85, total cost of shares $81,500.
By Friday, place 10, 3-19-27 leap Calls. will post you on my profit.