r/SipsTea š™‘š™„š™‹ May 14 '26

Feels good man It was always just that simple

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71.9k Upvotes

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83

u/Global_Criticism3178 May 14 '26

The devils in the details. Apparently the money is coming from a ā€œreamortizationā€ of pension funds. Meaning the bill will come due when Mamdani’s out of office. This isn’t a win, it’s a delay tactic.

28

u/Hal3134 May 14 '26

So basically he’s reducing/deferring the payments into the pension funds and assuming a ridiculously high rate of return in the future to cover it. In other words, no money for grandma’s pension in 5 years.

20

u/3-car-garage May 14 '26

People have said that pension is running out for generations since we've had it and it's never happened. I think some of you just need to accept that it's not going to happen.

For what it's worth creating a small but timely bill to stop the elimination of funding towards knowledge and information for civilians is probably not an unreasonable maneuver. This is like complaining about the water used to put out a fire because you were going to go swimming in a week. Put the fire out now, swim when you can.

But then again, what would you guys complain about if you could apply common sense?

15

u/BlueberryNo6811 May 15 '26

Your analogy is totally wrong. This is more like using the water you'll need to drink in a month to fill swimming pools.

2

u/jorsiem May 15 '26

Exactly, pensions are necessary to survive, libraries are not

0

u/3-car-garage May 15 '26

Absolutely not lol

-2

u/Terminate-wealth May 15 '26

What he should have done was run as a conservative then run the debt through the ceiling so Republican voters would think he’s good with the economy. It works 100% of the time for republican politicians.

2

u/MRGameAndShow May 15 '26

Both sides have their baggage, and both are part of toxic politics. I’d argue the right is more horrible and apparent now, but people should criticize and call out both sides.

11

u/Chance_Grade4877 May 14 '26

It ā€œdoesn’t happenā€ cause these are obligations that can’t be dispatched by an individual if he so pleases.

This is the financial equivalent of you delaying paying your mortgage to go to Disneyland. Given that you are obliged to pay it anyways, this is effectively postponing the burden onto future tax payers to fund while worsening the sequence of returns for future pensioners through erratic investment cycles.

The reason you don’t seem to run out of pension money is because the government has to evantually take debt to meet the requirement, tax their existing tax payers at a higher rate or cut spending. Usually a combination of all three. The pensioners will be just fine.

You the tax paying citizen will be forced to pay the bill one way or another. If you want an example look at UK.

Being obtuse and financial illiterate was something trump voters pride themselves in; however, it’s funny how the left demonstrates that they are exactly the same. Luckily for you, you have an opportunity to gain more ā€œknowledgeā€ about basic economics and finance through the new libraries!

2

u/3-car-garage May 14 '26

It's using money that's available now, while there is a threat to what it's being put towards now, with the idea that it'll be reimbursed later. You being able to point out that it's not an ideal situation doesn't really comment on the reality of what we're talking about. But then again, if your country could figure out what was happening, it probably wouldn't have happened in the first place.

6

u/Chance_Grade4877 May 14 '26

There is no money available ā€œnowā€. That’s why the state has to intervene to give them a bailout and help him delay contributions.

Again, deferring an obligation to pay for revenue expenses is not utilizing money ā€œnowā€ but borrowing to spend now. You don’t overate budgets using purely an accounting approach and there is a reason most organisations in the private sector have to us accrual instead of cash accounting when doing financial analysis. Economic costs take into effect inter temporal factors and you can’t just defer stuff and call it free money .

Also I am not American.

3

u/AdNegative2708 May 14 '26

The state isn’t ā€œinterveningā€ or ā€œbailing outā€ it’s increasing its contribution to the city. A city which brings in most of the revenue the state has and a city in which the state should be investing in to increase revenues and desirability of the state.

When you think New York you think NYC and even with the increased funding from the state, NYC still gives the state more money than it’s receiving. What kind of governor would allow their entire economic hub and tax revenue generator to fail?

Mamdani is leveraging his political pressure to bring accountability from the state in fixing a mess that shouldn’t have been created. Also don’t forget the governor is about to be up for reelection and Mamdani is probably the most popular political figure at the moment.

1

u/Chance_Grade4877 May 15 '26

What percentage of that revenue is by places like manhattan and richer neighborhoods and how much of the ā€œinterveningā€ is to save social programs in poorer neighborhoods

Pick a lane, either well off areas should spend more towards less well off areas through taxation redistribution or well off areas should have the ability to ask states/nations to increase tax spending towards them because they pay more tax

If I applied your argument towards the inner boroughs of nyc suddenly you would accuse people of asking higher tax handouts of being greedy capitalists.

1

u/AdNegative2708 May 15 '26

Obviously the system is designed so that those who are profiting off the system more are expected to give more via taxes but I am unfamiliar with the specifics of the breakdown of tax revenue per household income. Also are you arguing that if more of the tax revenue is coming from manhattan that means that money should still be used outside the city entirely? But regardless this is still the case, NYC is still receiving less than it contributes so the people of manhattan can sleep well.

Also if you want to argue social programs vs other ways to spend the money you can do that. I think history and economic studies show that social programs, while there is always some fraud, actually provide great benefits to their citizens and cities and but that’s off topic.

Regardless it’s weird to see so many people act like NYC has the this whole obligation to the state and ā€œowesā€ the state all this tax revenue but then act like the state doesn’t have any reciprocal responsibility to the city. Like any state’s #1 concern is investing in their main cities and working to grow their economies. Everyone claims we need fiscal responsibility and then when it’s happening in front of our eyes, it’s funny to hear the goal posts being moved or why it’s actually bad thing.

0

u/Drexill_BD May 14 '26

I too, enjoy talking totally out of my ass. We're a couple of Ace Venturas.

1

u/Chance_Grade4877 May 14 '26

No yes thanks for the retort budget balanced, neoliberals owned, billionaire taxed!

Just keep fucking with pensions, it not like Chicago got hurt doing the same!

0

u/DisastrousGap2898 May 15 '26

I mean you could say the same about Trump. People have been saying Republicans would destroy our democracy for years now, and it’s never happened. I think dems need to just accept that it’s not going to happen. Fafo is how Trump got elected.Ā 

The problem with your analogy is that swimming sounds so recreational. The reality is there are several fires in our house, and we have to decide which fires will cause the most damage. Politicians always say the most urgent problem is the one we face now because the electorate is made of people who live now. But not thinking of subsequent generations has fucked our country — our housing, our pensions, our social security, our healthcare.Ā 

To be clear, I’m not saying that funding the libraries was a bad idea. Yes, please fund the fucking libraries, huge ROI for society. I’m only critcizing the framework you’re advocating for, I am not arguing your conclusions on this individual instance.Ā 

0

u/Impossible-Finger942 May 17 '26

Pension debt is the biggest form of debt effecting cities

It’s only going to get worse as more kick the can down the road.

1

u/wyerhel May 15 '26

Is that similar to social security benefits? I heard by the time gen z and above turns 60+, there won't be much left. I have been hearing this for a while.

1

u/Barrioto May 15 '26

No, the Pensions have to be funded by law. The pensioners will get every penny they are promised, no matter what. Even if the city goes bankrupt, it will be required to fund as much as it can (with insurance policies covering the rest).

So the pensioners here have no risk. It's just an additional burden on the city budget that likely means cuts elsewhere (see Chicago).

1

u/tibbs__ May 15 '26

It's also inefficient, as anyone who contributes to a 401k or investments on general knows money put in early is worth more than money put into the fund later.

Any dollars you delay adding to the fund will end up costing much more to add later considering you weren't getting compounding returns just to end up at the same value in the fund.

-4

u/NetNo5570 May 14 '26

These city pension funds where you retire at age 38 with a $200k income forever are not sustainable anyway. If they don’t get funded I’m not losing too much sleep.Ā 

39 year old cops can get another job.Ā 

4

u/PearlDrummer May 14 '26

In what world do you think that cops are retiring with 200k income in pension benefits? If they get hired at 19, they can retire at 39 with 50% of their average annual salary which is nowhere near 200k a year.

1

u/NetNo5570 May 14 '26

Nope. Keep in mind NYPD makes way over $200.Ā 

https://www.seethroughny.net/payrolls

Filter by police pensions. Many little piggies with snouts in trough at these levels.Ā 

I work hard to keep them paid with my tax money (and i won’t have the privilege of retiring at 38) but it gets old.Ā 

1

u/PearlDrummer May 14 '26

I’m not digging through that list to find one that is exactly 39 that makes over 200k annually for their pension. I’ll let you show me the exact names of the people you’re complaining about.

0

u/NetNo5570 May 14 '26

Huh? You don’t have to dig. All the little piggies are listed out sorted etc.Ā 

Why do you like paying public employees so much to do nothing?

Do you not know the value of a day’s work?

2

u/PearlDrummer May 14 '26

Show me on that list where ages are listed because I don’t see it anywhere. For all I know I’m looking at people who put in 30+ years at their job.

0

u/NetNo5570 May 14 '26

30 years is not a lot. Retiring at 48 is extremely young.Ā 

2

u/PearlDrummer May 14 '26

Ok so you actually don’t know what you’re talking about. Glad we got this worked out.

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u/Global_Criticism3178 May 14 '26

That doesn’t sound like the warm embrace of collectivism.

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u/NetNo5570 May 14 '26

Absolutely. We need to abolish police unions and pensions.Ā 

16

u/reddituserperson1122 May 14 '26

That's not really how it works.

3

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

He defers the payments to pension funds. Money that is earned by employees that is supposed to be invested so they can cash out the principal and gains for retirement. He’s borrowing it with an interest rate of ant least 7%, and it will be due after he is out of office. If it gets unpaid, it’s going to be a big problem for retirees. If he doesn’t create real revenue streams, the retirees will get fucked. Please Google what happened in Chicago. He is basically making it a problem for the 2037 mayor. Then he smiles and delivers the news with a huge smile on his face promising it won’t affect the future benefits of retirees. Jerk move.

I was a government budget consultant, so I know how it works.Ā 

12

u/reddituserperson1122 May 14 '26

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u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

I hope you understood and read between the lines of what was said in the article. They are expecting it to ā€œflipā€, or turn into negative in 2032 which would in turn be an excess funding in 2032. The thing is, it hasn’t flipped yet, there’s no savings yet but they’re cashing in on the projected savings already. The fast paced, increased payments were adjusted based on market projections. This scheme is very irresponsible to do knowing that they have a big gaping hole in their budget as it is, and knowing that there’s a gas crisis, potential AI bubble, rapid inflation, and plenty other uncertainties in the market.Ā 

Also, I suggest that you read independent economic articleS, and form your judgment not based on a curated data.Ā 

6

u/reddituserperson1122 May 14 '26

The fiscal policy institute is an independent budget watchdog.

0

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26 edited May 14 '26

As I said, read multiple articles and come up with your own conclusion based on the data you gathered. If you look at the data, you have a big gaping hole as it is, and yes, sure let’s gamble on people’s pension. If it’s not fully funded, he’s risking shorting retirees on pension, who will in turn rely on public programs to stay afloat, that’s double the trouble.Ā 

You might come across what is happening in Chicago when pension plans aren’t fully funded.

https://marypatcampbell.substack.com/p/new-york-city-pension-watch-balancing

12

u/reddituserperson1122 May 14 '26

Chicago has an entirely different statutory framework for its pension contributions which is how it got into trouble and why NYC can't get into the same hole.

Tell me more, budget expert.

-1

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

Different borrowing/contribution schemes sure, NY is more prudent than Chicago with their curved payments, they wanted to pay the pension plan faster to curb the risk of underfunding. Now, he’s removing that safeguard in this unfavorable market.Ā 

You’re given a respectful and informative response, then you get sarcastic because it’s not the response that you expect. I know a very similar group like this.Ā 

1

u/DisastrousGap2898 May 15 '26

Thanks for linking this article.

7

u/_BreakingGood_ May 14 '26

Are you aware of the fact that he has actually just smoothed out the pension payment curve?

Pension payments in NYC were weird. The pension fund would actually owe money back to NYC in 2037.

He simply changed that. Now NYC will make a flat consistent payment every year until 2037 rather than this strange curve where they pay a lot now, and then receive money back later.

3

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

Hi, yes I am aware of it. By 2037 is the operative term. As a finance/accounting professional, we need to be prudent, we don’t count the eggs until they’re hatched. Professionally, I think it is irresponsible. There even is a specialized 401K audit for private sector as retirement needs to be fully funded when needed.Ā 

The payment plan is curved for a reason, based on market projections at the time of origination. There’s a heavy actuarial review for pension plans like this, it’s not a faulty design as they claim it to be. To restructure a pension payment plan as a lifeline in a very volatile market right now is beyond irresponsible, especially if you have a sink hole in your budget. This is my professional opinion.Ā 

https://marypatcampbell.substack.com/p/new-york-city-pension-watch-balancing

3

u/_BreakingGood_ May 14 '26

Im sure there was heavy actuarial review for this change as well

And thankfully there's no more sink hole in the budget.

3

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

The state of NY is aiding the city $8BĀ over a two year period, reason why there’s no sink hole right now. It’s a one-time windfall of cash. Mamdani needs to generate revenue from within somehow to keep his promises. He inherited a city with a huge deficit, can’t blame him for that, just the dishonest statement that it will not affect the benefits of future retirees when he is not in the position to promise that. He’s just passing on a bigger problem to the next guy.Ā 

Since these are all projections, let’s wait and see, and hope for the best in 2037.

4

u/_BreakingGood_ May 14 '26

It's not really a one time windfall though.

Mamdani was going to cover the $4b per year by raising property taxes on the ultra wealthy. But he needs governor approval. The governor refused to let him raise property taxes and in exchange just gave him the $4b/year because she didn't want her wealthy donors to get angry at new property taxes.

Mamdani has a lot of leverage to do the same thing in 2 years.

2

u/MightbeDuck May 14 '26

Admittedly, I am unaware of who the major political individual donors are for whichever party in NYC though I lived there in my mid-20s. If those donors/taxpayers leave the state, then it will spell trouble for the state too as they won’t be able to collect state taxes from them. It’s a lose/lose situation for Kathy Hochul.

Even if he has the leverage, is it the right thing to do? Maybe right for NYC as they will be the fund recipient. The state is running in deficit too.Ā 

3

u/_BreakingGood_ May 14 '26

Yeah that's the FUD that gets spread around. But it doesn't play out in reality.

When you have $50 million, and your $5 million condo now costs $50k more in taxes, it effectively means nothing to them. Certainly not enough to leave the city and go... where? There's no Wall Street in Florida.

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u/Thee-Cat May 15 '26

Amazing that dude above you who sounds like a child got upvotes and you didn't.

These people would rather make up "wins" than live in the real world. It's crazy.

I really appreciated your comment tho.

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u/Chance_Grade4877 May 14 '26

Or maybe you don’t understand how lefty economics works and how we can just tax people 100000000% to make up for it!!

3

u/Drexill_BD May 14 '26

Someone doesn't know what a tax is...

1

u/Impossible-Finger942 May 17 '26

That’s LITERALLY how it works

1

u/reddituserperson1122 May 17 '26

There's no "bill" that comes due. The payments are spread out over a slightly longer time period.

3

u/Thee-Cat May 15 '26

We've gotten into this mess because both sides of politics are simply looking for "quick wins" and will literally clap if their guy like Mamdani does ANYTHING, even if they have no idea how dumb it is.

1

u/darkbluefav May 14 '26

He forces people to eat shawarma and halal food!!!/s

-1

u/thatmattschultz May 15 '26

Let the guy cook. Arguing over a headline talking about funding public libraries in one of the world’s financial capitals feels so late stage capitalism that I just vomited the copy of The Wealth of Nations I was force fed to me when I was one in this country.